Revenue LTV lies; profit LTV decides
The LTV that matters for spending decisions is gross-profit LTV — what a customer contributes after the direct cost of serving them. A £720 revenue LTV at 50% margin is £360 of actual capacity to fund acquisition and profit. Compare marketing costs against that number, never the revenue one.
The churn model suits memberships and retainers: at 20% annual churn the average customer stays five years (1 ÷ 0.20), so annual profit × 5. Both models assume the future resembles the past — sensible for planning, not gospel.